Don't Hold Your Breath
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Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026
And the Smart Money Is Moving Fast
HOT 41 bettors 210d ago
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt
And the Smart Money Is Moving Fast
HOT 31% 4278 bettors 1103d ago
V4 (DeepSeek) release date
And the Smart Money Is Moving Fast
TRENDING 82 bettors 393d ago
Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)
Don't Hold Your Breath
TRENDING 4% 37 bettors 719d ago
Claude Code support the .agents/skills/ standard before March
Don't Hold Your Breath
TRENDING 2% 17 bettors 23d ago
February 2026 AI releases
And the Smart Money Is Moving Fast
TRENDING 204 bettors 25d ago
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028
And the Smart Money Is Moving Fast
TRENDING 32% 88 bettors 176d ago
What will happen between Anthropic and the Pentagon
TRENDING 62 bettors 4d ago
💘What will happen in February 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
TRENDING 81 bettors 43d ago
OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030
TRENDING 33% 61 bettors 632d ago
be caught insider trading in prediction markets
It's Anyone's Game
29 bettors 12h ago
xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal
Skeptics Are Winning This One
21% 16 bettors Yesterday
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI
44% 579 bettors 1103d ago
Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026
Skeptics Are Winning This One
16% 82 bettors 55d ago
AI will the Department of War use
The Frontrunner Might Surprise You
9 bettors 10h ago
be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year
It's Anyone's Game
151 bettors 89d ago
OpenAI release any new model this week
Don't Hold Your Breath
LONGSHOT 2% 37 bettors 3d ago
What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series
263 bettors 734d ago
OpenAI be valued at $600B by mid-2026
It's Basically a Done Deal
96% 47 bettors 393d ago
Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030
47% 40 bettors 761d ago
OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026
47% 18 bettors 10h ago
R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date
140 bettors 399d ago
Manifold consider Claude Sonnet 4.6 to be a frontier model
It's Basically a Done Deal
98% 16 bettors 24d ago
New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date
5 bettors 25d ago
Deepseek V4 be released
Everyone's Asking the Same Question
47 bettors 340d ago
What will be the next major event for Anthropic
36 bettors 775d ago
Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027
Signs Point to Yes
70% 234 bettors 11d ago
OpenAI announce a new full-size, frontier model >5.2 before March 1, 2026
Don't Hold Your Breath
LONGSHOT 2% 60 bettors 44d ago
Anthropic publicly acknowledge a significant/systematic degradation of Claude Opus 4.5 by February 29, 2026
Don't Hold Your Breath
LONGSHOT 3% 23 bettors 31d ago
Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date
36 bettors 75d ago
model family will rule the LMSYS Arena in 2026
The Frontrunner Might Surprise You
6 bettors 61d ago
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date
290 bettors 217d ago
@teortaxesTex' DeepSeek V4 predictions thread
16 bettors 154d ago
the AI bubble pop in 2026
Skeptics Are Winning This One
18% 326 bettors 62d ago
Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026
61% 197 bettors 223d ago
OpenAI releases a "fast" mode of their top-end coding model in February
LONGSHOT 2% 8 bettors 20d ago
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice
46% 539 bettors 1103d ago
GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date
31 bettors 75d ago
Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026
Nobody Can Agree
40% 69 bettors 31d ago
Deepseek R2 be released
Everyone's Asking the Same Question
51 bettors 340d ago
Llama 5 (Meta) release date
29 bettors 217d ago
☘️What will happen in March 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
26 bettors 26d ago
we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized
Skeptics Are Winning This One
31% 249 bettors 765d ago
Claude beat Pokemon before my 4-year old
It's Basically a Done Deal
94% 31 bettors 254d ago
Claude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
42 bettors 72d ago
'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date
5 bettors 8d ago